Significant global legal and technology changes are happening currently. In
the case of Cuba it could mean opening trade doors between the U.S. and Cuba
that have been welded shut for the last 40 years. Even possessing a famous
Cuban cigar is illegal in the United States, while cigars in general are
legal.
The U.S. Congress is finally listening to the screams of their
constituents-and are in the process of amending decades old sanctions laws
against Cuba -the sleeping Caribbean colossus which lies a mere 90 miles off
the American mainland. Major demands by American agriculture to legally
sell their rice and food products to Cuba is causing even rock-hard
conservative Republican leaders to morph from diehard opponents-to-eager
sponsors almost overnight. This breach of the Cuban version of the Berlin
Wall will most likely be the battering ram that opens the doors wide to
further U.S. investment into Cuba. It could also end up opening up trade
between the U.S. and North Korea, Iran, and Libya as fresh political winds
suddenly are beginning to stir during this key U.S. Presidential election
year. Such 21st century politics could have a ripple effect worldwide.
After four decades why is Congress seriously considering changing the law to
allow legal trade with Cuba? Since the U.S. has long traded with Communist
controlled China--and before that, the Communist controlled Soviet Union. In
the mid 90's it opened trade with communist controlled Vietnam--then 'why
not trade with Cuba' seems to be the real question. For years Europe,
Central and South America, and Asian countries have done business with Cuba,
investing in modern tourist hotels that try to recapture the aura of Ernest
Hemingway's Cuba and other ventures-while the U.S. has clung to its
isolationist strategy that was supposed to defeat Castro. Not doing
business with Castro because he is a Communist made little sense when the
U.S. was readily doing business with other Communist countries.
The American isolation strategy has failed for forty years and needs to be
changed to fit modern reality. It could be said to be hypocritical to
openly promote trading with Vietnam and China, Communist controlled
government with whom the U.S. had two Asian Wars (Korea and Vietnam) while
denying trade with Cuba because its Communist in which we sponsored a brief
and unsuccessful Bay of Pigs invasion-small potatoes compared to the Vietnam
and Korean conflicts.
American rice and grain farmers see Cuba as a large and vital market they
need to stay afloat. Cubans can't grow enough on their own to satisfy the
needs of its 11 million residents, 25% of whom are under the age of 15.
US farmers are not the only potential beneficiaries. Because Cubans still
drive 1950's automobiles and have yet to be tempted by Internet computers,
designer clothes and countless other capitalist delights offered by Europe,
their Latin brothers/sisters and elsewhere, then Cuba could be the next
global gold rush for businesses scrambling to be the ones who sell the adult
7 million Cubans new cars, Internet services, clothes, food, etc. It would
allow Americans to invest in new profit making Cuban ventures (acquiring the
largest stock of 1950's vintage American cars for resale into the US as
collector's items would be one Cuban business worth investing in).
It won't happen overnight but if Congress removes the sanctions it could
result in a flood of American business and lawyers very soon jumping on
airplanes to Cuba, to join Europeans, Latin American and others already
doing deals in Cuba. Those who are positioned early in Cuba could have an
incredible advantage when Cuba eventually adopts the China/U.S. free market
economy that has been proven by the U.S. and China to equally enrich
capitalist and communist systems alike. Such a change would enrich the
Cuban people like it has the ordinary men and women of China who care more
about making money and travel than dull party meetings and tired dogma.
Unlike the Cuba sanction policy, the U.S. policy with China, starting with
Nixon, was based on the belief that if we end their isolation and engage
them in business we will know each other better -- and besides profiting
from the trade we could resolve our political differences more easily
because of those relationships that are established over time. In fact this
has been proven in the years since Nixon opened our trade and contacts with
China. Such a policy has created a sea change in China. Construction is
booming across the country on new projects and starting with a lady who made
her first million selling eggs, there are now over a million millionaires in
China. This policy has lead to US/China student interchange and now
elections are being held at local levels in China, all stemming from this
policy of trade contact with the U.S. and European trade partners.
When I first went to China in 1982 everyone wore blue and made $30/month,
like in Cuba. Now I know Chinese global entrepreneurs who shuttle between
continents as routinely as people commute to work-importing gems and
countless other products. They act like Americans and Europeans and think
like entrepreneurs, not like communist party officials. The same could
happen to the people of Cuba, if we trade with them.
If the US Congress abolishes the Cuban trade sanctions law, further contact
between the U.S. and Cubans will lead to changes for the better in
Cuba-including improved diets for the 25% of Cubans 15 or under who have no
idea what lies just 90 miles beyond their shores. Why should they be denied
access to adequate food because we don't like their leader? Would it make
sense for China not to trade with the U.S. because they don't like our
leaders-who are always asking for more Chinese reforms, etc.? No.
By letting American farmers and entrepreneurs join the rest of the world in
selling Cuba the food and other goods that we take for granted, the U.S. can
dismantle an outdated law and discard a failed policy of hypocrisy. By
tearing tear down one of the last Berlin Walls still remaining in this
world, Congress has a chance to build bridges to our isolated Cuban
neighbors instead of burning them.
Michael Fjetland, JD
Sponsored by International Legal Group (TM)
A Worldwide Legal Network
Connecting People and Lawyers worldwide
"If You are Not Everywhere (Globally), You're Nowhere"
The current Global Business/Technology Revolution: "If You're Not Everywhere [Globally], You're Nowhere" says Business2.com magazine. "By 2005, U.S. users will be only 30% of World Online Community as global internet use surges" Red Herring 6 2000
"Start-ups need a global strategy from the outset in order to win" in the
current global technology race, according to separate articles in the June
2000 edition of Red Herring, the technology magazine, and the May 2000 issue of Business2.Com. Why? Look at the compelling numbers:
Today, nearly 50% of all Internet traffic comes from foreign (non-U.S.)
domain accounts. Over 42% of the online population is non-English speakers.
The European online population will exceed the U.S. online population by
2003. By 2005, U.S. users will represent only 30% of the world's online
community, according to research consultancy IDC and reported in the June
2000 Red Herring article by J. Fonstad.
The CEO of the U.S. online auction giant, Ebay, Meg Whitman said at a recent
world conference that her one regret was not moving into new markets
worldwide quickly enough. Now Ebay deal with formidable, established
auction players in each major market around the globe. Today, emerging
start-ups must get global fast. If not, they will find themselves in a
situation like ebay, and lose dominance quickly since the U.S. market will
shortly comprise only 1/3 of the total world market. If this trend
continues the next few years the American technology companies, instead of
being the Global 500 giants, will instead be the small regional acquisition
targets by the emerging 21st Century technology consortiums being formed all
over the world. If American firms do not move faster, or know how to play a
global strategic game with other giants being formed in Europe, Asia,
Israel, etc. then they stand to lose significant financial status, possibly
losing the entire game within the next 5 years -where will they be
positioned when the 2005 numbers show U.S. share of the World Internet
market is less than 30% of total world internet commerce?
Business2.com echoes the dire need for globalization of ALL technology
start-ups in its May 2000 issue "Go Global -If You're Not Everywhere, You're
Nowhere." It shows a startling and convincing analysis of which net
companies must have a global start-up strategy to survive in the present
global technology market. Silicon valleys are popping up worldwide. For
example, Israel's instant messaging hit, ICQ, created a new set of Israeli
entrepreneur heroes who became millionaires (when America Online purchased
them) to inspire other entrepreneurs like them.
This trend is happening worldwide, right now. By seeing it first, a person
or a company can then decide how to position itself to benefit financially
from the "next wave" of advanced technology. For example, the next great
wireless application will probably arise from Stockholm, London or Tokyo,
where wireless penetration is greater than the U.S. or anywhere in the
world. India is a software development powerhouse brimming with talent
creating technology and companies worldwide. Soon, the market for web
translators will make yet another set of software or Internet entrepreneurs
millionaires when its discovered how easily computers can translate Hebrew
into English or Japanese into Russian, opening up ever more opportunities to
enhance communications worldwide. For example, the International Legal
Group( uses web translator software that pops up when an incoming message is
in a different language and offers to translate it for us.
Expect to see great advances in Internet infrastructure, bandwidth, Internet
Video (for teleconferencing between personal computers, basically making
your computer a video telephone for under $200 or possibly free like the
present "free web" and other valuable Internet services as competition
continues advancing and drops costs as new, improved generations are created
by individual creativity worldwide.
All of this is already enhancing the trade of regional goods and
professional services between increasing numbers of people on all continents
from Africa to Asia, North/South America and the pan-European market, which
is already passing the U.S. in size.
This means that U.S. high tech Internet companies must have a global
strategy from day one, or miss out on billions in cash flow as companies
like ebay and America Online have discovered.
* Michael Fjetland,
JD (2000
Global Strategic Consulting
Services Division
Worldwide Legal Search Division
International Legal Group
Global “Do’s and Taboo’s” in International Business